Value Betting Explained

There is rarely a value in backing the favorites since, knowing that most punters are willing to back the favorites at any prices, the bookies tend to lower the odds significantly on teams like Manchester United, Chelsea and Bayern Munich. Seeing that even these kinds of teams cannot win every game they play, there is often a value in backing their opponents at very high odds, especially if you have more info to back it up. This is usually a good tactic right after their European games when players are tired and do not have big motives when playing relegation strugglers.

How to Find Good Value Bets

 
The common mistake most bookies make is that they create the odds mainly according to teams’ position in the standings. This is also where you can find good value bets by simply watching the teams play and checking their form. If team’s performances are much better than the results, there is a good chance they will turn it around and start winning, and this is when you need to act since the odds on that team will be very high after several poor results. Guessing the exact moment when a team kick-starts their season can get you very nice profit. Watching the games can take up some of your time but it is likely to significantly increase your chances of winning. Checking soccer transfer news is also a good way to see if the squads have undergone any changes and if team’s key players are still there.

Another way of finding good value bets is by checking the odds early on, as well as all the information about the match in question. This is especially important for minor leagues as acquiring information about a match before the bookies will give you the upper hand over them. If two teams are similar in quality, the odds will be around 2.60 on either of them, but the odds on team 1 will start dropping really fast if the coach of team 2 states that he will rest his first team regulars for the most important match that is due few days later. This is when you need to act quickly and take the highest possible odds on team 1 since their chances are no longer 33% (assuming the chances on both teams and draw were the same before the new developments), but they are now at least 50%, and they are worth taking at any price above 2.00. This is why you need to stay updated with the latest soccer betting news and to check forums for necessary information.